Answer:
1) Mathematically :Step-by-step explanation:
1) Mathematically
The calculation of total amount of baht to be paid over 2 years under through financial instruments is shown below :
Hence, the total amount of baht to be paid over 2 years is found to be minimum when Bechtel hedges its position through options with an exercise price of 25 baht / $ at 3% premium.
This option will give Bechtel the right to exchange $1 billion at 25 baht / $ after 2 years.
Conclusion : The best solution for Bechtel would be to hedge its position using the above-mentioned options.
2) Verbally
Bechtel should hedge its foreign exchange exposure because the exchange rate (baht / $) may fluctuate over the life of the project which may impact the overall profitability of the project. The exchange rate (baht / $) may change due to various reasons such as :
Political instability in Thailand or US
Change in inflation rates in Thailand or US
Change in interest rates in Thailand or US
Increase in the value of baht
Decrease in the value of dollars
By hedging its foreign exchange exposure, Bechtel can focus on its project on other core activities and increase overall profitability of its business.
Conclusion : Hence, the best solution for Bechtel would be to hedge its position and not leave its currency exposure open.